Thursday, November 16, 2023

Shannon querying ChatGPT3.5 on Faraday

Shannon: If I were to have a conversation with the fictional character Faraday from The Man Who Fell to Earth, and ask him 'what is humanity's value and how is it special', how would [the alien] respond?

ChatGPT 3.5: Faraday, the enigmatic character from "The Man Who Fell to Earth," might provide an intriguing and thought-provoking response to the question about humanity's value and uniqueness:

"Humanity's value lies in its capacity for both boundless creativity and devastating destruction. It is a species capable of incredible feats of innovation, art, and progress, yet simultaneously harbors the potential for great folly and harm.

What makes humanity special is its intricate tapestry of emotions, experiences, and perspectives. Humans possess a remarkable ability to dream, to imagine possibilities beyond the present, and to explore the depths of their curiosity.

However, this uniqueness is not without its complexities. Humanity's value is interwoven with a constant struggle between altruism and self-interest, between compassion and indifference, between wisdom and ignorance. It is this duality that makes humans both fascinating and confounding.

At their best, humans demonstrate resilience, compassion, and a thirst for understanding. They have the ability to forge connections, to empathize with others, and to create beauty amidst chaos. This capacity to love, learn, and evolve distinguishes humanity in the vastness of the cosmos.

Yet, humanity's history is also marred by conflict, greed, and shortsightedness. The same potential that elevates humanity also poses existential risks to its own existence and the well-being of the world it inhabits.

The true value of humanity lies in its potential for growth and change. It is in the ability to learn from mistakes, to strive for greater understanding, and to work collectively toward a future that nurtures not only the human spirit but also the harmony of the world.

In essence, humanity's value is found in its complexity, in its capacity for progress, and in its pursuit of meaning and connection in a vast and mysterious universe."

Sunday, October 15, 2023

exhaustion

That was one of the hardest Linkedin posts to write. Yes, I'm open to part time opportunities. Yes, I have built up uncurated knowledge. And, I'm looking for opportunities to round out my experience. I want to continue in deep tech. Now more than ever we need more people that are going to push us to net zero as fast as possible.

And yes, I'm tired of being ignored for my contributions to the carbon-climate space. Open science and source works on merit, and if people don't credit me when its due, I can't prove my experience and book contracts. It's been since the end of 2016 since I last had a paying corporate contract. Yes, I am drinking the startup kool-aid in self-belief, and she-can-do-it too. I went though my savings and liquid Roth funds and now on to my IRA (just under $158.3k since '17) while living in the San Francisco Bay Area with paying a monthly rent of $450-1000, totaling about $71.6k, with an average of $833 during these years. I have some stocks I can sell to tide me over, but still pretty painful, even if I don't have any debt accruing interest. Yes, I'm gambling, that I can get a bunch of 1099s and pay back my Roth and IRA, or get the business fully revenue positive and upwards. And even more so that I will make back enough to afford a home in my native San Francisco.

Even more heartbreaking, I'll be soon moving out of San Francisco. It's the end of living with dishonest housemates -- sometime later you can ask me about their gaslighting and BS.

I'm classified as good risk rated over $30k and excellent with a credit score >800. I've never been late on my rent, shared utilities, or household supplies. I get it, my soon to be former housemates may not be familiar with people that don't lie, but my word should be able to be trusted to deliver on deals worth multiple million. My entire business will one day rest on my word and ability to back my contractual obligations in a mutually agreed upon contracts. And hopefully one day it will be a term-sheet will be worth multiple million, and more. So yes, I take lying very seriously and no I haven't lied to them.

So this is it, if you are forced into living below some income threshold because of extreme savings; you are suddenly forced to accept petty liars and minor cheats?

Looking for ways to build a startup when you only have your savings? Looking to save and trying to find the deals that are below market rent?

Don't live with people that you don't know, and hardwood floors are easier to clean than carpets.

I'm so over it.

Tuesday, September 12, 2023

This time my wheel

 



I ride often. I know better than to leave my front wheel unlocked. Yet, I always felt like an idiot for taking the extra two-to five minutes to take the wheel off and lock it to the u-lock that's threaded though the frame and rear wheel rim. Even more of an idiot when I bring the front wheel into a store (yes, I've done that in the past).

I have somewhere 14-15k miles on the frame as it's from 2011 when I purchased it from American Cyclery to replace my previous Bianchi's Veloce with same geometry (campy, entry level team racing grade, also stolen in SF -- '09). I replaced the wheel set in '17 after trashing my shoulder (comminuted compound fracture) on NYD on Mount Tam. This last pic is from a ride in '19. I do try to summit the mountain every now and again. This year I've been ill on and off such that my riding quota is way down.

So, what's hard to make out is a 2016 Mavic Ksyrium Elite wheel set with a white (and black) hub.
And the front wheel was stolen on Monday afternoon in front of a large grocery store.

And there's dealing with the replacement. I have to check and vet the replacement as well as the seller as I don't accidentally wish to support bicycle thieves reselling stolen property.

I'm just really hurt by this. I know people would think it's no big deal, or get over it, or do something to get over it, etc. I know, the spokes aren't pristine from years of night riding in the fog crossing the Golden Gate to visit my folks. I know the entire kit is older, and was partially submerged in a backed-up storm drain near the Manzanita Park and ride that caught me during one of the recent king tides. I also know I personally cleaned it, fixed the flats, etc, and was riding Continental Grand Prix 5000 tires that I bought in an online sale. And yes, I try to ride my bicycle (14-15k mi in 12 years) instead of drive because I do actually care about lowering emissions.
 
This is my city. I was born here. It feels like the city of the 1980s, with the same gritty drug infused harshness. Only this time, I know what better used to feel like. It used to be better, less desperate, less like every move you make is going to put you at risk for getting ripped off or abused. I'm one of the lucky ones. I haven't been raped. I haven't had my car busted into. I've only had petty theft, been harassed and poisoned, over the years from living here. I get it, I'm struggling too. My startup hasn't done well, I've run in to huge amounts of bad luck, etc.

How do we get to that place where people don't need to steal, abuse drugs, or commit serious crimes? How do we get to that place where people are actually humanitarian enough that crime ends?
 
On the plus side, there was one nice black guy that offered me his bike wheel on market street as he felt so bad that I was walking back home. I thanked him profusely, but since I didn't know him, or know how to get in touch with him, I opted not to. At this time I'm still trying to touch things as little as possible as I have an allergic reaction and likely fighting some kind of infection. So, unless I have a bleach wipe, I try not to touch foreign things. I asked him to pay it forward, besides thanking him for his kindness.

Wednesday, September 6, 2023

Right of repair and old hardware

A few weeks ago, I was lucky to replace my Macbook Pro (now vintage, mid-2014) laptop battery. It was heavily swollen from years of commuting, a few accidental drops, warmer than typical ambient temperatures, demos, and some infrequent air travel years ago.

The battery hadn't reached the hard cap of 1000 cycles yet was severely swollen. My current housing rental has a great view of Sutro Tower; however, with constant sunlight or even moderate fog combined with hardly any insulation or UV protection, still reaches the 80s in the daytime.

After years of working on my startup, I can't really be without my laptop, nor can I really afford Apple support post the initial extended three-year warranty. So when, in late '19, the battery first posted the needs service notice, I tried to put off the replacement.

The swelling was getting worse this summer, so I opted for replacements, either Apple or do it myself. Since this laptop is now considered vintage, Apple won't do the replacement. Luckily, I was able to purchase a replacement from iFixit and successfully replace it.

Now, mind you; I have significant experience with expensive computer internals due to years of rising the ranks of what's now DevOps. Armed with a humble anti-static strap and the right screwdrivers, possibly some rubbing alcohol, upgrades are a snap.

Prior to extraction, I drained the battery to lessen the fire risk. I also had rubbing alcohol (91%, 70%), gloves, eye protection, a mask (more for my allergies than anything else), the aformentioned anti-static strap and pentalobe and tri screwdriver set, and some silicone dielectric paste. And I familiarized myself with the procedure by the tear-down directions from iFixit. I did a modified extraction to limit the hazards to only rubbing alcohol. Yes, it was a complex replacement, and I feared damaging the ram. Unfortunately, I think accidentally removed the dielectric paste between the touchpad cover and touchpad/keyboard connector but replaced it with the silicone dielectric paste.
 
Here's the battery post-extraction. I have it on tinfoil for ease of transport.

 
 
Here's a quick shot of the inside of my MBP, filled with dust. :(

 

Luckily for me, San Francisco provides free battery waste disposal and the same-day or next-day pickup. Once extracted, the battery's puffy condition scared me enough to consider actually driving it over to Recology. After talking to Recology, they said the risk was low enough such that I could wait for the next day's pickup. Given its puffiness and my lack of a bucket of sand, I opted for my twenty-plus-year-old French cast iron oven. It was the only thing large enough, actually. So, here's a yummy battery:

Thankfully, Recology's ewaste was out the next day to retrieve it.

After resetting the SMC, it hasn't crashed post replacement. The laptop passes Apple's diagnostic boot, and the touchpad and keyboard work correctly.

This laptop has a limited lifetime, as it has a compact flash drive that will eventually fail after exceeding the drive write lifetime.

Once a consumer has taken home a piece of hardware, I believe unless there are trade secrets or hazardous materials, the consumer has full rights to disassembly, reassembly, and upgrades.
 
Given the radical need for beyond-effort battery recycling that needs to take shape to have the best chance at Climate Restoration, we need to do all we can to incentivize the most renewable action properly.
I hope the right of repair, zero-(e) waste will be accepted in more places than just San Francisco.

Thankfully, some forward-thinking state senators and assembly members (introduced by Senator Eggman, Coauthors: Senators Dodd and Skinner, Assembly Members Haney, Bennett, Wicks, Kalra, and Lowenthal) introduced bill SB244. Thank you!!
 
As of Sept 1, California has a Right of Repair passed appropriations. For SB244, add support here: https://act.consumerreports.org/Sq9qeyg
Find your right of repair legislation: https://www.repair.org/stand-up

Thursday, July 27, 2023

Shannon querying ChatGPT3.5 on Picard

Shannon: What would the fictional character Jean-Luc Picard say, it means to be human, and uphold humanity?

ChatGPT 3.5: As a fictional character from the "Star Trek" franchise, Captain Jean-Luc Picard is known for his wise and philosophical perspective on humanity and its values. If we were to imagine what he might say about what it means to be human and uphold humanity, it might go something like this:

"To be human is to embrace the complexity of our existence, the beauty of our emotions, and the potential for both greatness and fallibility that resides within each of us. It is to recognize that we are not merely individuals but part of a larger interconnected web of life, where our actions have consequences that ripple across the universe.

Upholding humanity means holding ourselves to the highest ethical standards and striving to do what is right, even in the face of adversity. It means seeking knowledge and understanding, exploring the unknown, and extending compassion and empathy to all living beings, human or otherwise.

As individuals, we have the power to shape the course of history, and with that power comes the responsibility to use it wisely and with a sense of purpose. We must learn from our past, acknowledge our mistakes, and grow from them to create a better future for generations to come.

To uphold humanity is to transcend our differences and work together for the common good, breaking down barriers of prejudice and division. It is to stand up for justice, equality, and the protection of the vulnerable. We must strive to be a force for peace and progress, seeking diplomacy and understanding over conflict and hostility.

In the grand journey of exploration and discovery, we must remember that we are not the sole owners of this universe but its stewards. We hold the responsibility to preserve the diversity of life, the wonders of nature, and the fragile ecosystems that sustain us.

In the end, to be human is not just about our biology or physical form, but about the choices we make and the values we hold dear. It is the continual pursuit of knowledge, compassion, and progress that defines our humanity and our potential to shape a better universe for all."

Of course, this is a fictional perspective, but Jean-Luc Picard's character often embodies these noble ideals and inspires others to strive for a better and more enlightened future.

 

Sunday, July 23, 2023

Our stories

I took a bit of a break and started watching Picard after binging on Lower Decks and Strange New Worlds.

We have to fully tell and teach what makes us quintessential human, those essential human stories, those stories that convey our most human values. Our humanitarian values: including our uniqueness, mercy, friendship, comradery, kindness, curiosity, and desire to improve, give humanity that unmistakable fingerprint, too precious to only live on in a memory bank.

I know the future isn't all idealism begetting a utopia of sorts, but it doesn't have to be a takeoff to human extermination, either.

I suspect human stories and values inoculate future AI into being better and stewarding us to be better and away from existential risk.

Wednesday, April 5, 2023

Chatgpt seculates on humans and creating a more positive influence on Earth and it's inhabitants

I wanted to test drive chatgpt with a climate question. I also wanted to frame the question to allow for exposition and learning. I had this dialogue with ChatGPT, GPT-4 on March 21, 2023, via OpenAI's chat portal.

Shannon's ChatGPT, GPT-4 prompt: Please answer in the style of a Socratic tutor. Would humans be considered neutral or positive influence on Earth and it’s inhabitants? How could humans have a more positive influence on Earth and it’s inhabitants?

ChatGPT's response: Ah, an interesting question you pose. Allow me to ask you a few questions in return to better understand your thoughts on the matter.
Firstly, what do you mean by "neutral" or "positive" influence? Can you define these terms in the context of human impact on Earth and its inhabitants?
Additionally, who or what are you considering as the "inhabitants" of Earth? Are you referring solely to human beings or do you include all living beings on the planet?
Finally, what criteria would you use to determine whether human influence on Earth and its inhabitants is neutral or positive? Would you consider factors such as ecological sustainability, biodiversity, and social justice, or would you evaluate human impact solely based on economic or technological progress?
Once we have a clearer understanding of these concepts, we can explore how humans could potentially have a more positive influence on Earth and its inhabitants. However, it is important to approach this question with an open mind and a willingness to engage in thoughtful dialogue and critical thinking.

Shannon's response: Define inhabitants as all living beings and habitat such as rocks, land etc.

ChatGPT's response: Thank you for clarifying that. In that case, it would be reasonable to consider human impact on Earth and its inhabitants to be a complex and multifaceted issue.
Human influence on the planet can be seen as both positive and negative, depending on the perspective and criteria used to evaluate it. On the one hand, humans have developed technologies and innovations that have enabled us to improve our quality of life, reduce disease and poverty, and expand our knowledge and understanding of the world around us. On the other hand, human activities have also caused significant damage to the environment, including deforestation, pollution, and climate change, which have negative impacts on all living beings, including humans.
To have a more positive influence on Earth and its inhabitants, humans must address these negative impacts and work towards creating a more sustainable and equitable future. This may involve changes in our patterns of consumption and production, the development of new technologies and practices that minimize environmental harm, and a shift towards more ethical and responsible ways of living and doing business. Additionally, we must also recognize and address the social and economic inequalities that contribute to environmental degradation and harm to marginalized communities.
In short, to have a more positive impact on Earth and its inhabitants, humans must prioritize the well-being of all living beings and the health of the planet, and work towards creating a sustainable, just, and equitable future for all.

Shannon's response: Additionally, as far as neutral I'd say define it as neither generating a positive nor negative outcome for its inhabitants. And positive generating increases in livelihood metrics that lead to better well-being, higher quality of life, more evolved and connected civilization, as well as increased biodiversity, and ecosystem variety.

ChatGPT's response: Thank you for further defining your terms. Based on these definitions, it would be challenging to argue that human influence on Earth and its inhabitants has been neutral. The extensive changes that humans have made to the environment have undoubtedly had both positive and negative consequences for all living beings.
As you noted, human activities have led to significant improvements in livelihood metrics and quality of life for many people, but at the same time, they have also led to environmental degradation and loss of biodiversity. It is essential to recognize and address these trade-offs and work towards creating a more balanced approach to human development that considers both the benefits and costs of our actions.
To have a more positive influence on Earth and its inhabitants, humans must take a more holistic approach to development that considers the long-term consequences of our actions on the environment and future generations. This may involve rethinking our economic models, promoting sustainable practices, and investing in technologies that minimize environmental harm while still promoting human well-being.
Ultimately, it is essential to recognize that humans are not separate from the natural world but rather a part of it. To have a positive impact on Earth and its inhabitants, we must work towards creating a more harmonious and sustainable relationship with the planet and all living beings.

Tuesday, August 9, 2022

longtermism and humanitarian values

As a single individual I can only really have a limited affect on the future. In order to maximize usefulness I've taken to contain my worry about existential AGI risk and longtermism as to where I can have an impact. A thought experiment which has left me concerned is would a singularity/take off AI event still find humans valuable to keep existing? I have to limit the scope of this worry to something I could and am needed to affect. Others are working on AGI safety such that I don't have to address paper-clip/grey-goo thought experiments here.

What I haven't seen addressed nor debated, are what traits keep us uniquely human (such as random thought experiments?) enough that an AGI would want to let us exist, and with our free-will intact? Would we need to grow such traits? How much would civilization grow by more people embodying these traits?

Assuming there's a set of reasons an AI would agree not to destroy us, what would the answers to those reasons look like? Our most lauded traits are humanitarian traits and values. What would it take for more of humanity to adopt and embody humanitarian traits and values?

Considering numerous thought experiments, given the likely sophistication of an AGI the traits and values ought to support individual uniqueness and randomness, self-determination, expression, exploration and persist enough to translate to positive actions across humanity. These traits and values would both indirectly shape views, and directly create humanitarian actions: enact both non local and local cooperation, do unselfish acts, be kind, hold stewardship and service in high regard -- err on the side of altruism, and practice more platonic love, don't let selfish or evolutionary need be the principle driver of behavior, and correct our failings. (Regarding altruism, in practice, as it's impossible to live completely altruistically, seek to do so in moderation; engineer for maximal effectiveness and increase leverage which lowers learning curves to enable more good.) If we as humans are able to embody and put forth these values we would be more likely a unique good within the universe.

By stating this, maybe I've made this ultimately selfish for humanity's own ends, but maybe I've allowed us to justify more of humanity being better in a secular manner.

Can we say humanity embodies a poetic beauty, unique among the cosmos? I hope We'll do better such that the future will say yes.

Wednesday, May 5, 2021

outside the box

We commonly hear, it can't be done, it won't be done, and all types of fear uncertainty and doubt, when looking at CDR and 100% REs.

When I was a child there was one way to make pasta. Boil water on a stove, and anything less than al dente was sacrilegious. Today I know that if I use different pasta, (but still calorically the same) angel hair instead of penne, add boiling water from an electric kettle, then microwave it, it's done in less than 5 minutes and al dente. If I'm plugged into an electric grid, it's entirely fossil free. (Yes, induction and radiant work too, but do take some time to boil.) So, it's not the traditional pasta unless you wanted angel hair, but it's less energy intensive, even though it's now has two heat process steps.

This is the kind of thinking we'll be doing to find ways to engineer more ways to reduce the energy demands of our lifestyle and our carbon removal efforts. Couple this with the falling price in Solar PV, and batteries, and we hopefully will meet before reaching 1.5ºC & using up the remaining carbon budget.

This is the exciting frontier of re-imaging and engineering to lower energy costs. And I haven't even touched on the cool stuff that's incubated from Activate & Cyclotron Road.

And remember, just because the fo**il fu*l industrial complex can pull oil from Alaska and refine it in the lower 48 then ship it to a Walmart or gas pump in Florida, doesn't mean that process needs to continue if EVs take over transportation.

The cost of that entire process I just described was offset by fossil fuel subsidies, shareholders, corporation value, existing supply chains, etc ... 

How much ceases to exist or gets replaced by REs and CDR? How much more efficient would it be to just use Solar PV deployed within 50 mi radius of the vehicle that uses electricity instead of oil? How many more new jobs when PV is installed, and the grid transmission upgraded, and the machinists and heavy industry workers are hired to maintain the grid, and new CDR technology? What happens when this is deployed in a city's existing industrial area? But it's totally electric and the new biz owners are fully 3x bottom line so they operate a zero emissions site?

Just imagine!

Saturday, March 27, 2021

Unlocking pure truth

I love unlocking pure truth from the universe.

There are different types of fearlessness. I'm really good at being intellectually fearless. People can be inconsistent and possibly dangerous, but STEM is a realm where I have very little fear.
To solve very stuck problems with many unknowns, I tend to zoom out and back in, looking at and testing the problem space from its edges. This approach frequently knits new or different concepts into existing knowledge nodes. Then the problem-solving can often jump to a new way of framing and yield new knowledge.

I confess I sometimes seek fundamental concepts relentlessly.

Take the distance between two points, simple, right? What about looking at it from the algebra: distance magnitude multiplied by (units (distance in a common frame of reference) over time). All that extra thought violates Occam's razor; why bother?

The distance can be represented by the time traveled (unless bent by a massively heavy object), as shown by mathematical manipulations. A distance can be represented by the time light travels between two points.
And that travel can be represented in the time domain, or spatial domain, or even radius or diameter divided by two plus a direction, but it's all the same meaning. Ultimately the photon went from here to there. Given the numerous ways to express distance, it would caution one to keep track of which method is doing the accounting.

Physics can be confusing because we have many ways to represent the same knowledge, and it may not be clear which method is in use.

This process of natural science inquiry is very beautiful to me. It reignites living.

Engineers would say you can't violate Occam's razor just for a selfish need of beauty. That will lead to Rube Goldberg machines at worst or at best something inefficient.

To them, I say the universe is so enormous; there are so many wonders unexplained; why be confined to known patterns?

But maybe this passion should die out? If computers can do it faster and even brute force all possible solutions to crack knowledge, do humans need this desire? If we lose the wonder, this delight in the pursuit of knowledge, would life suffer? So many don't care as it is.

Would we become virtual thought potatoes?

I admire the Occam's razor devotees, they are natural engineers, but that's not what inspires me to live.

CC-BY-SA-4.0 2021 - Shannon A. Fiume

Thursday, January 7, 2021

Open political commentary & refs

In light of yesterday's failed insurrection attempt, any political commentary I make is creative commons CC0. I don't care to be attributed, I do care that fascism, and white supremacy ends. If it's a technology or climate story I kindly ask that it be attributed. As, I work on open science for a better climate. Please support via https://github.com/sponsors/safiume or http://www.autofracture.com/research as I have no funding.

Remember, Trump was hinting about an autogolpe late fall of 2020, yesterday had a failed insurrection from seditionists, militias. Then the domestic terrorists consisting of white supremacists  largely just walk out of the Capital and chill in a nearby hotel as if they just went to Disneyland.

For a partial rundown of the events which contribute to the present see the timeline to June of 2020.

In particular, note the links to the most current incarnation of gaslighting and ties to birtherism. Pay attention to Stephen Miller, Steve Bannon, Robert Mercer, and Koch lobbying executive Marc Short. Also look for ties to the Daily Caller, Tucker Carson, Koch institutional monies, Koch lobbing groups, SPN and ALEC.

Extremists roots and how to over come

https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2019/08/conversation-christian-picciolini/595543/

https://theintercept.com/2020/05/07/are-trump-and-the-anti-lockdown-militias-itching-for-violence/

https://theintercept.com/2020/07/20/honor-john-lewis-voting-rights-act/ 

Anne Applebaum authoritarian roots

https://www.npr.org/2020/06/04/869722081/journalist-explains-why-republican-leaders-back-trumps-proto-authoritarian-cult

Anne Applebaum on yesterday

https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2021/01/what-trump-and-his-mob-taught-world-about-america/617579/

Saturday, January 2, 2021

Open NanoCarbon Annual New Year's Letter

Hello.

Last year was one hell of a year. Never before have I seen so much widespread grief, soul-crushing misery, and response from people. We lost so many. We examined ourselves and started work to recognize and open access and opportunities for Black lives and in turn, will help all minorities. Even today, much of the world, our healthcare, and essential workers are still in the trenches. And we still have an unequal society.

I put my long-shot quest of building an energy storage device on hold while I battled my own depression. I was thankful for the kindness of strangers and friends.

I'm continuing ONC for January. I am seeking a stipend or paying work. I have not been revenue positive since '15. Instead, I've invested in learning, and experimenting, including creating ONC, a poster session at the 2018 International Negative Emissions Conference in Sweden, a preprint, met Christiana Figueres at the end of the GCAS '18 at College of Marin in California, DD BASF, Maker Faire, and for Autofracture built rGO in a bedroom and then a garage, and created the new logo for ONC. In early fall I reached out to the UN as our sky turned orange, an annual sight in Napa and Sonoma Counties but unfamilar to those more south.

While researching Carbon Removal scalability, I found the projected market demand for carbonates and basalt projects is larger than direct conversion to solid carbon. As such, ONC is changing its goal of 'removing hundreds of gigatonnes in less than two decades' to 'the fastest large scale conversion' to solid carbon. The choice is twofold; we still need solid carbons to produce goods like polymers and bitumen and ought to democratize 3D printing.

ONC Climate Modeling Research

ONC is still researching climate modeling to get to zero degrees warming over the start of industry (mean temperature from 1720-1800). And will be continuing to build off the pymagicc team's work in python workbooks at https://github.com/hsbay/cdrmex. I'm looking for sponsors of this project https://bit.ly/cdrmexprj as well as volunteer coders. I've opened an ONC issue to calibrate MAGICC 6 for negative emissions, as MAGICC 7 won't be available till the fall of 2021. Other issues will be opened, soon. Ideally, I intend to get this done in Jan.

To better understand how to achieve and what happens at zero cumulative anthropogenic emissions, we need climate modeling outlining Earth's dynamic response. CDRMIP has not adopted baseline calibration carbon removal tests to absolute zero to complete in less than a century. The Zero Emissions Commitment paper outlines what happens for removal to 1.5ºC, not cumulative zero anthropogenic emissions. Cao and Calderia's 2009 paper starts removal after reaching 511 ppm in 2049. Hopefully, our efforts will inspire others to look at pushing beyond Paris. Early modeling to cumulative anthropogenic zero shows we must achieve 1.5ºC (Paris) and head much lower before 2100. Early modeling also shows we need to move off all fossil gasses to eliminate Montreal/Kigali controlled SFGHGs. For continuing research http://bit.ly/cdrmexprj

Many of my in situ reports are in tweets, please do visit, read and share my pinned thread that shows supporting reasoning as to why we must reach at least 92% of net zero by 2030. (https://twitter.com/safiume/status/1307053939901313026)

ONC Physical Sci Research

There are a few recent CO₂ to solid carbon/liquid hydrocarbons in the past few years. As ONC's charter is open science, only those open science candidates can be adopted and adapted by ONC. Depending on how much runway I have, how ONC grows, what labs are open, and vaccine availability, I'll either manage or be the PI for electrochemical CDR experiment(s) in the fall of 2021. As I have no physical lab, nor have I've been vaccinated; this is very speculative.

I've moved to San Francisco for health and a shorter commute to the bay's labs. It has raised my rent. I will have to take a break from ONC at the end of Jan until I replenish my runway. I hope to start ONC physical science research in the fall unless ONC receives donations. SLAC/LBNL labs are free, assuming ONC wins the grant/PI process to be accepted to perform open science. The donations would support any materials the labs may not have and a living stipend.

The fact that I'm asking for money is likely a failing on my part as a founder. However, I've started things that no one has attempted: ONC, and green catalysis of rGO in a garage.

The year 2020 was an exceedingly difficult time. If you would like to restart your participation in open science, contact Shannon. I look forward to hearing from you.

Wishing you good health, stay safe, and quick access to vaccines.

Yours in service to a better climate,

≈sa

----------

Shannon A. Fiume

shannon at autofracture dot com | https://twitter.com/safiume | https://linkedin.com/in/safiume | http://www.autofracture.com/research | Go Carbon Negative!

Wednesday, November 4, 2020

Timeline: roots to the Summer of 2020

This timeline shows many of the extremist origins, dark money's undue lobbying influence, gaslighting and propaganda that came to create the potent and dangerous Summer of 2020. This toxic mix commingled with election fraud and tampering to continue to corrupt US democracy.

More in depth coverage of Racism to June 2020 is told here:

https://www.theatlantic.com/education/archive/2020/06/atlantic-reader-race-and-racism-us/613057/

Timeline to June 2020

2005-2006

Deeply conservative justice Alito confirmed 58-42 vote, Mitch Mcconnell voting. Supreme court tipped more conservative.

Sometime in 2008-2009

Tea party events with help from SPN's FreedomWorks as noted in the first chatper of Gaslighting America: Why We Love It When Trump Lies to Us, Amanda Carpenter.

Jan 21, 2010

Citizens vs FEC, 5-4 vote in favor of Citizens, tie breaking vote from Alito.

2012

Freedom Partners created 2012, and run by Marc Short, and I360 started in 2009
https://www.politico.com/story/2014/12/koch-brothers-rnc-113359

2013

Weakening of Voting rights act through Shelby vs. Holder, with a 5-4 vote. RBG writing a scathing descent, opposing majority view of Roberts: https://www.motherjones.com/politics/2016/10/colorblind-justice-john-roberts-voting-rights-north-carolina/

https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2018/07/how-shelby-county-broke-america/564707/ 

Jan 28, 2015

https://web.archive.org/web/20150128201920/http://www.stripes.com/opinion/lt-clint-lorance-could-be-any-one-of-us-1.325886
https://www.sourcewatch.org/index.php/Sean_Parnell_(Center_for_Competitive_Politics), writes position piece supporting clemency and within days he's on Hannity to push the story. Note the date and the publisher is CVA. This is how the echo chamber is seeded, a piece from a Koch org, or related org staffer.

Jan 2016

DHS noted a review of previous highs in militia groups rise in 2009, slightly dropping till rising again. Political pressure from republicans via the Tea Party to drop the department. Concern for Tea party members to increase in militia group participation.

https://www.nytimes.com/2016/01/09/us/politics/homeland-security-looked-past-militia-movement-ex-analyst-says.html

June 2016

Noted riffs between RNC and Trump Campaign, however, these aren’t permanent.
https://www.politico.com/story/2016/06/donald-trump-republican-national-committee-224403

July 2016

FBI director James Comey Started investigation on Trump associates and Russia.

August 2016

Steve Bannon signs on to the Trump Campaign.
https://www.nytimes.com/2017/08/18/us/politics/steve-bannon-trump-white-house.html

October 2016

https://www.pbs.org/newshour/nation/fbi-white-supremacists-in-law-enforcement

October 27, 2016

Brad Parscale: voter suppression, media disinformation and fundraising campaigns with the help of Cambridge Analytica, and board vice president Steve Bannon and alt-right media bubble
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-10-27/inside-the-trump-bunker-with-12-days-to-go

Jan 6, 2017

Freedom Partners detail what to repeal:

  • Repeal the following by new Executive order:
  • Executive order establishing a task force on commercial advocacy
  • Executive order putting a moratorium on new federal coal leases
  • Presidential memorandum requiring new federal overtime rule promulgation
  • Paris Climate Agreement requiring greenhouse gas emissions reductions
  • Proposed Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) programs incidental to the Clean Power Plan
  • Proposed Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) payday and vehicle title loan rules
  • Proposed CFPB arbitration rules
  • Work with Congress to repeal:
  • Final Stream Protection Rule regarding coal mine permitting
  • Bureau of Land Management (BLM) federal lands Methane Rule
  • Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS): 2017 and 2018 obligations
  • EPA Greenhouse Gas Emissions Standards: Medium- and Heavy-Duty Engines and Vehicles
  • Work with agencies to repeal:
  • EPA Rule defining The Waters of the United States
  • EPA Clean Power Plan
  • HHS Electronic Health Record Incentive Program
  • HHS Establishment of Exchanges and Qualified Health
  • DOL Overtime Rule
  • DOL Fiduciary Rule
  • FCC “Net Neutrality” Rule
  • USDA Calorie Labeling for Vending Machines

“Freedom Partners will hold lawmakers who oppose regulatory relief accountable for their positions. Floor Time: Congressional leaders should devote sufficient floor time to voting on finalized regulations and putting lawmakers on record on President Obama’s most harmful regulations.

Voter Education: Network organizations will educate voters about their elected representatives’ positions on regulations that impose barriers to opportunity for hardworking families.”

Fact check? Search for Freedom Partners in the Internet archive. A source doc from their website is there.

Jan 20, 2017

Marc Short Joins Whitehouse, promotion from Pence’s communications advisor. Keep in mind, Mr. Short has been working with Koch funded NPOs since the late 90s. He’s been Pence’s chief of staff from 2009-2011, then back to the Koch funded Freedom Partners till 2016.

https://projects.propublica.org/trump-town/staffers/marc-short

Feb 24, 2017

EO 13777, Enforcing the Regulatory Reform Agenda: Hires staffers from former ALEC member lobbyists
Hires EPA staffers of chief climate deniers, including one with family employed by Big Oil.
https://projects.propublica.org/trump-town/staffers/category/taskforce?page=1

March 29, 2017

Trump ends moratorium on new federal coal leases
https://www.eenews.net/stories/1062507113

May 9, 2017

James Comey fired by President Trump
A week later, Robert Mueller appointed as special counsel to take over the investigation of obstruction of Justice surrounding the probe into Trump associates and Russia

June 1, 2017

Trump announces to withdraw from Paris Accord

Late June, 2017

Governors Meeting in Whitefish
https://www.nytimes.com/2017/08/06/us/politics/under-trump-coal-mining-gets-new-life-on-us-lands.html

June 19, 2017 

1.1 TB of data leaked from GOP voter data on 198 million US citizens
https://gizmodo.com/gop-data-firm-accidentally-leaks-personal-details-of-ne-1796211612
2016 registered voters are about 200M.

Aug 12, 2017

‘Unite the Right‘ rally, Charlottesville, Virginia
Attendees were joined by white supremacists groups to protest the removal of a statue commemorating the confederate general Robert E. Lee, resulting in the death of one of a peaceful counter protester in support to remove the statue.‘

Aug 15 2017

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2017/aug/15/donald-trump-charlottesville-trump-tower-white-supremacists#maincontent
https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2017/08/trump-defends-white-nationalist-protesters-some-very-fine-people-on-both-sides/537012/

Aug 18, 2017

Steve Bannon exits Trump Whitehouse
https://www.nytimes.com/2017/08/18/us/politics/steve-bannon-trump-white-house.html
https://www.nytimes.com/2017/11/11/us/politics/mitch-mcconnell-steve-bannon-trump.html

No love between Mcconnell and Bannon. Outlines tactics used by Mcconnell “World” to discredit opponents. Outlines rational of republican self preservation initiated from the senate compared to carte blanche Freedom Partners/AFP doctrine. Bannon was already associated to Stephen Miller, a known white supermacist. How much of this was posturing?

May 7, 2018

Americans for Prosperity draft US budget cuts:

https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/6810490-AFP-2018-Budget-Cut-List.html
https://twitter.com/lhfang/status/1238956214072967169

Jan 09, 2018

Steve Bannon Steps down from Breitbart

https://www.nytimes.com/2018/01/09/us/politics/steve-bannon-breitbart-trump.html

May 06, 2018

https://www.theguardian.com/news/2018/may/06/cambridge-analytica-how-turn-clicks-into-votes-christopher-wylie

Sept 20, 2018

Denver Post shows Identity Evropa linked to white supremacy increasing from 2017 and 2018.
https://www.denverpost.com/2018/09/20/white-supremacy-front-range-colorado/

Nov 3, 2018

Extremenism summary including Charlottesville
https://www.nytimes.com/2018/11/03/magazine/FBI-charlottesville-white-nationalism-far-right.html

Jan 28, 2019

Cambridge Analytica is founded in 2013, with Robert Mercer, Steve Bannon as board members
https://www.opendemocracy.net/en/dark-money-investigations/they-were-planning-on-stealing-election-explosive-new-tapes-reveal-cambridg/

Jan 29, 2019

RNC pledges support for Trump in 2020 election.

'"The Republican National Committee passed an unprecedented pledge on Friday to give Trump its "undivided support" before he's the party's official nominee.' '"The members just wanted to underscore, underline, highlight that we are here to reelect President Trump and Republicans up and down the ballot," the RNC's national press secretary, Cassie Smedile, said.'
https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/rnc-push-undivided-support-trump-reelection-state-leaders/story?id=60603125

March 2019

https://www.wired.com/story/cambridge-analytica-facebook-privacy-awakening/

Marc Short rehired to Pence’s Chief of Staff
https://twitter.com/VP/status/1097896017498914816

March 22, 2019

Mueller Report finished, resulting in 34 indictments, 14 criminal investigations. A redacted report was published on April 18, 2019 and made available to the public.

July, 2019

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/james-alex-fields-jr-charlottesville-car-attack-sentenced-life-plus-419-years-today-2019-07-15/

2016 elections hacked by Russians operatives:

https://www.nytimes.com/2019/07/25/us/politics/russian-hacking-elections.html

August 06, 2019

https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2019/08/conversation-christian-picciolini/595543/

August 08, 2019 

Mcconnell campaign locked out of twitter for posting an expletive ridden video with threats of violence. Senate Republicans, and RNC retaliate with mischaracterization of what happened and boycott spending on Twitter.
https://www.cnbc.com/2019/08/08/twitter-locks-mitch-mcconnell-campaign-account-for-video-of-protesters.html

Oct 15, 2019

281 Lobbyists work for Trump administration, in jobs responsible for regulating the industry they lobbyied.
https://www.propublica.org/article/we-found-a-staggering-281-lobbyists-whove-worked-in-the-trump-administration

Dec 18, 2019

Impeachment proceedings of President Trump started

Feb 23, 2020

Murder of Ahmaud Arbery, Brunswick, Georgia

https://www.nytimes.com/article/ahmaud-arbery-shooting-georgia.html

March 13, 2020

Murder of Breonna Taylor, Louisville, Kentucky (Mitch Mcconnell State Senetor and Gov. Beshear)

https://www.nytimes.com/article/breonna-taylor-police.html

March 22, 2020 

Americans for Prosperity staffers lobby for opening up America and protest lockdown orders. https://theintercept.com/2020/03/26/americans-for-prosperity-cdc-coronavirus/

April 17, 2020

Domain tools software queries Internet Domain Name records show hundreds of domains registered at the same time, and their linked facebook pages have Google Analytics id that leads back to the Dorr Brothers who are astroturfing a majority of the lockdown protests websites.

April 19 2020

Hyper pro gun lobbying created by Dorr brothers, and Mn chapter headed by DeVos advisor McNeilly, peddling corona disinformation.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2020/04/19/pro-gun-activists-using-facebook-groups-push-anti-quarantine-protests/

April 22, 2020

Anti-lockdown protests roots in tea party and Mercer’s Convention of States, Koch big money
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/inside-the-conservative-networks-backing-anti-quarantine-protests/2020/04/22/da75c81e-83fe-11ea-a3eb-e9fc93160703_story.html

May 07, 2020

https://theintercept.com/2020/05/07/are-trump-and-the-anti-lockdown-militias-itching-for-violence/

May 20, 2020

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/climate/trump-environment-rollbacks.html

May 24, 2020

Effigy of Governor Beshear publicly hung during Patriot Day 2nd Amendment Rally

Gov. Beshear, a democrat, a target? Why is that also the home of Brianna Taylor, to which has an open FBI investigation of police corruption? Why is an effigy being displayed in broad daylight by a III%ers in 2020?
https://www.kentucky.com/news/state/kentucky/article242972241.html

Warning, Explicit Effigy content: https://www.courier-journal.com/story/news/politics/2020/05/24/second-amendment-supporters-protest-covid-19-restrictions-capitol/5250571002/A

May 25, 2020

Murder of George Floyd, Minneapolis, Minnesota

https://www.nytimes.com/article/george-floyd.html

May 27-June1

DHS finds chatter from far right extremists, organizing to incite violence to start the next civil war, per boogaloo movement. No evidence is found for antifa to turn violent.
https://www.businessinsider.com/white-supremacist-telegram-channel-encourages-violence-george-floyd-protests-2020-6

May 29, 2020

DHS memo citing white supremacist organizing on May 27, and inciting to storm the Minnesota State Capitol.
https://www.politico.com/news/2020/06/01/dhs-domestic-terrorists-protest-294342

May 30, 2020

NV arrest three, loose ties to militia:  

MN, arrest man handing out explosives, unaffiliated, used facebook to promote rioting:
https://www.peoriapublicradio.org/post/galesburg-man-charged-inciting-riots-chicago-minneapolis#stream/0

Arrests in Minnesota from May 30, about 80% of 40 ppl linked to white supremacist or organized crime:
https://courthousenews.com/minnesota-officials-link-arrested-looters-to-white-supremacist-groups/

May 31, 2020

Identity Evropa posing as Antifa on facebook to incite riots:
https://www.nbcnews.com/tech/security/twitter-takes-down-washington-protest-disinformation-bot-behavior-n1221456

Virginia: self proclaimed KKK leader runs over protesters with vehicle:
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/harry-rogers-kkk-leader-accused-driving-into-protesters-virginia-police-say/

June 2020

https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2020/06/qanon-nothing-can-stop-what-is-coming/610567/ Qanonmous cult amplifying white supremacy planted lies about antifa (june, online release was earlier)

https://www.nationalreview.com/2020/06/the-very-fine-people-trap-and-how-to-avoid-it-today/

June 1, 2020

Peaceful protests cleared with tear gas for the president's photo op and speech in front of a church.

https://www.wusa9.com/article/news/local/protests/tear-gas-protesters-lafayette-square-park-police-new-video-evidence/65-c39fb767-b114-41d6-bcbb-530b3823d8e7


https://www.wusa9.com/article/news/local/dc/tear-gas-washington-dc-protests-st-johns-church/65-7e9a67c7-e40b-47a2-8060-3f7d908139dd

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2020/06/02/timeline-clearing-lafayette-square/

Police punching press camera of foreign media: https://twitter.com/brett_mcgurk/status/1267662905383596032

Why were American’s rights infringed with use of force by the President for a photo op?

Why is the campaign manager telling the media how to explain official white house communication in front of a church?

‘…This tear gas lie is proof of that,” a statement from Tim Murtaugh, the communications director for Trump’s reelection, read. “For nearly an entire day, the whole of the press corps frantically reported the ‘news’ of a tear gas attack on ‘peaceful’ protestors in Lafayette Park, with no evidence to support such claims.”’

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2020/06/05/reverse-fact-check-trump-his-supporters-about-tear-gas-falls-apart/

https://www.npr.org/local/305/2020/06/05/870752740/black-lives-matter-d-c-sues-trump-and-barr-over-tear-gas-at-lafayette-square

Joint Chiefs Staff Report bayonetts issued but under strict orders not to use unless further instructed, regarding orders given for riot control on June 2, 2020.

https://apnews.com/62e1aa26fe5043a63441dcacea70703
https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/nypd-officer-appears-make-white-power-sign-protest-prompting-probe-n1224141

June 4, 2020

https://www.npr.org/2020/06/04/869722081/journalist-explains-why-republican-leaders-back-trumps-proto-authoritarian-cult

June 9, 2020

How The Antifa Fantasy Spread In Small Towns Across The U.S.
https://www.buzzfeednews.com/article/annehelenpetersen/antifa-rumors-george-floyd-protests

“I am hard-pressed to identify any significant Trump decision during my tenure that wasn’t driven by reelection calculations,” Bolton writes in the book, according to a news release from the publisher. https://apnews.com/c1bd22be2194dcdb16dbb052dc3d5bd4

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/justice-department/airman-charged-killing-federal-officer-during-george-floyd-protests-california-n1231187

https://www.rollingstone.com/politics/politics-features/trump-campaign-2020-voter-suppression-consent-decree-1028988/

Epilogue


Monday, November 2, 2020

Ways to save

I chose entrepreneurship as a way to solve hard, relevant questions. Doing a startup requires funding and well funded startups are better able to scale faster. Given seeking funding ultimately deals with economics and control, maximizing economics before hand adds leverage.

I've come up with some hacks to allow me to better save and give me as much runway as possible. Yes, the lean startup book doesn't recommend to lean budgeting as you miss out on being able to move quickly since you're too caught up saving, or from what I remember reading back around 2013. I remind myself that it is ok and necessary to still make business purchases that can be quite expensive, assuming it's justified.

This list is more personal lifestyle hacks. Food is one of the most significant ways to impact ones quality of life outside of exercise, as such this list is slanted towards food.

I wanted to find cheap healthy replacements for ramen, and soylent. I haven't tried soylent but need to be (nearly) soy free. Pea protein can be added to soups to add protein to a meal, and it kind of makes a miso-like consistency. Add in some fresh veggies, and noodles (gf optional) and curry powder, garlic powder or salt, tumeric, salt, and one can make it like ichiban ramen, only healthier depending on the noodles.

Pea protein, noodles, gelatin powder, veggies, spices, (split pea + noodles or miso like + noodles, that's more like a bone broth. Animal gelatin is still from animals, but this should have less impact than say a full animal based soup.)

Frozen fruit allows me to have fresh fruit, with a decent vitamin and nutrient profile. I do try to buy locally where possible.

Rainbow hued fruit and veggies in most meals, as I want vitamin A, Bs, C, E, K, and Ca, Mg, Cu, Si, S, Zn, etc.

Ground turkey, veggies, black beans and spices. Can go curry or chili or both. Non-ruminant animals are preferred to lessen carbon impact. Yes, full veggie is better, but I'm not there (yet).

I do fish oil (DHA extra w/EPA) and vitamin D3 supplements so I can cut back from eating fish many times a week. I do eat Alaskan salmon (as I'm California) at least once a week. I found that mail ordering supplements works fine except for fish oil. That was spoiling by the time I received it. Instead I now get it at a supermarket where they have high vitamin/supplement turnover.

I have to cut back on chocolate, but buying 70% baking chocolate does make it slightly better.

Motorcycle instead of a car. I needed something to zip in and out of the peninsula or North Bay if I was coming from Sonoma County or where mass transit isn't well served at all hours. I don't skimp on the safety gear, it may be bought on sale, but none of it is budget. Know the safety ratings and shop around, same goes for tires! I rock all season rain tires in dry California, as the Golden Gate Bridge is mostly cloaked in heavy fog, even while the rest of the roads can be completely dry. These tires are likely more expensive than most, but it's less expensive than Shannon pavement spackle or an ER/Morgue trip.

Living in a high walk or bicycle score area. Walking or bicycling is a great way to just keep blood moving while running errands.

Finding sale cycles for cyclical items: batch dry cleaning to the few times per year the dry cleaner emails me coupons, buy consumables like bicycle tubes during the bi-annual bicycle store sales, same with motorcycle oil, buy seasonal clothing during opposite season sales, shop a thrift store. Buy functional expensive pieces during winter or summer sales.

I did buy all of my professional wear before starting my startup. If I had to buy it again, I'd still look for one good wool suit in a basic color that goes well with my skin tone. What's the value of a good suit? My wool black suit jacket has been to more than 10 countries, has over 100K of air miles, and still photo finish after a dry clean. It was on sale, but over $150. I did have it altered, both sleeves and cuffs. It's now 11 years old. I'm in California I usually wear dressy jeans, however I do have the matching slacks. The set was heavily discounted, yet somewhere just shy of $300.

Cut out eating and drinking out. That latte budget really adds up! Buying movie tickets (pre covid/post vaccine) at reduced cost. (This may not be offered post covid, no idea.)

Pre-covid I had a gym membership. Unknown, when I can get back to one. I may have to convert a bench and get some (more) free weights. (ugh)

These seem odd, but each has given me that extra bit so I can stretch while I go work on hard problems deciding like to do science or engineering to ultimately get a product out the door.

Thursday, June 4, 2020

Racism and Climate Equity - Open Letter to OpenNanoCarbon community

There was a time when US Universities closed so students could demonstrate for US civil rights. The same is true today if they were in session. And many companies have come out in solitary with #Blacklivesmatter movement.

Although I haven't taken the time to email a letter to my colleagues till now, it should be very clear I don't support racism and pervasive injustice enacting tyranny. I do not choose those words lightly nor as hyperbole. I stand with the #blacklivesmatter movement to seek justice for all the lives we've unfairly lost. NPR Covers Lives Lost, and my personal tweets.

As Open NanoCarbon is a collection of people, if any of you don't see how racism defeats climate equity, please leave the group.

Freedom is one of the central tenets of American Democracy. US law applies to all people in the US, and fundamental is the law's application in the same manner for all people.

Additionally, here are the United Nations Sustainability Development Goals: 10, and 16:

Sustainable Development Goal 10, Reduce inequality within and among countries
10.2    By 2030, empower and promote the social, economic and political inclusion of all, irrespective of age, sex, disability, race, ethnicity, origin, religion or economic or other status
10.2.1    Proportion of people living below 50 per cent of median income, by age, sex and persons with disabilities
10.3    Ensure equal opportunity and reduce inequalities of outcome, including by eliminating discriminatory laws, policies and practices and promoting appropriate legislation, policies and action in this regard
10.3.1    Proportion of the population reporting having personally felt discriminated against or harassed within the previous 12 months on the basis of a ground of discrimination prohibited under international human rights law

Sustainable Development Goal 16, Promote peaceful and inclusive societies for sustainable development, provide access to justice for all and build effective, accountable and inclusive institutions at all levels
16.1
Significantly reduce all forms of violence and related death rates everywhere
16.3
Promote the rule of law at the national and international levels and ensure equal access to justice for all



16.4    By 2030, significantly reduce illicit financial and arms flows, strengthen the recovery and return of stolen assets and combat all forms of organized crime.

Just as justice isn't a right for the select few, nor is clean air or habitual oceans and biosphere. We can't expect the world to listen to us, if we're unable to achieve the SDGs. We can't complete our work on climate without rooting out racism.

Individually, I support organizations within the black and progressive community: Blacklivesmatter, NAACP, The Thurgood Marshal Institute via the NACCP Legal Defense and Education fund and Change.org petitions for George FloydBreonna Taylor and Ahmaud Arbery, The Plug, Mayor's Pledge, and pipeline projects such as My Brothers Keeper Alliance, Black Girls Code and Hack the hood. (Full transparency: at this time I am unable to give financially as I'm working on unpaid climate research and research for an unfunded startup.)

Thank you, if you're a member of communities that have already spoken are working for change: Sierra Club, Carbon180, Air Miners, Xprize, OpenIDEO, Commonwealth Club, SV and SF Bicycle coalition and so many others.

If you're in software or are connected to a VC social network, please read my post on identifying bias: https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/analyzing-bias-product-targeted-recommendation-shannon-fiume and share it, as I personally believe that by rooting out white bias we'll be able to end racism.

Monday, September 30, 2019

Seeking Cooler Than 1.5

Why 1.5ºC?

The Paris Agreement goal is to reach less than 1.5º C. It completes by the year 2100. The goal's target is to allow Earth to warm to about 1.5ºC (2.7ºF) above the average temperature from 1850-1900. Also note, 1.5ºC  is the global average: locally your town or city could warm greater than 1.5º C; it could warm more than of 10º C (or 18º F, like during the summer of 2010: "[...] anomalies were particularly pronounced, exceeding the 1970–1999 mean (18) by 10°C [... ]".) And lastly, the goal follows (economically) viable trajectory to 1.5 that includes exceeding 1.5ºC before returning to below 1.5ºC at the end of the century.

The section of my previous post, Climate Action to Carbon Removal Q&A: "Why is the amount of Carbon so much larger ..." is incorrect. The climate modeling publicly available referenced in the  Nature Article: 'Scenarios towards limiting global mean temperature increase below 1.5 °C' shows the climate returns to that of the mid-2020s or the 2000s in another graph. Because of this difference, I can't use the historical projection of radiative forcing to project the target climate. The climate of 2100 from SSPn-1.9 is more likely comparable to a climate similar to mid-2000 or mid-2020s and includes all climate extremes for those decades. Not to mention that the temperature will still rise from industrial use mid-century before finally descending to about 1.5ºC-1.4ºC. And it's worth underscoring, 1.5º C is relative to the starting timeframe of 1850-1900, per Special Report 1.5.

Figure 1. Climate Models of SSP1 1.9 IMAGE modeled by MAGICC in Green and FAIR in Purple by the IAMC Scenario Explorer hosted by IIASA

So why is the amount still so much more vast to reach 280 ppm in the atmosphere and oceans compared to only reaching a little below 1.5º C?

Think back to the original problem, we emitted Carbon Dioxide, which has accumulated in the atmosphere and oceans since the start of industry (1750). The accumulation of Carbon is roughly 460 gigatonnes of Carbon (1.8 trillion tonnes CO₂) or 80 thousand Great Pyramids of Giza, or 1.5M Empire State buildings, spread between the atmosphere and oceans. To restore the climate to a desired Carbon Dioxide concentration, we need to remove Carbon Dioxide we added that now resides in the atmosphere and oceans. We emitted about 360 gigatonnes of Carbon (1.3 trillion tonnes of CO₂) from 1750 to 2010. The target scenarios would remove on average 100 gigatonnes of Carbon (366 gigatonnes of CO₂) which has the potential to return to a climate roughly similar to 2010. Given the changes to the other greenhouse gases, the MAGICC model in Figure 1. shows a temperature more similar to what's projected for the mid-2020s. The amount to return to pre-industrial times would be the entire amount of Carbon we've emitted, all 460 gigatonnes of Carbon. This difference is perceived as politically untenable as it's perceived to be too expensive (with today's pricing of renewables and need for fossil fuels). If we wish to have the climate of say 300 ppm, we'd have to remove another 300 gigatonnes (≈1 trillion tonnes CO₂) beyond what it would take to reach 1.5ºC. To restore to a desired temperature in addition to removing CO₂, we would also need to draw down much of the short forming greenhouse gasses.

Figure 2. Cumulative Emissions are a super-exponential inducing changes to the natural sinks. SSP1 1.9 IMAGE, as well as SSP1 RCP2.6 IMAGE, are modeled for comparison. The X's listed in red are the amount of CO₂ it would take for the Atmosphere to reach 450 ppm and extrapolated to the Cumulative Emissions line. We are likely to deglaciate Antarctica when we hit 450 ppm. The SSPs splines were generated from a linear extrapolation of the SSP Database data.

No doctor would ever say to a cancer patient, 'We might be able to treat your cancer by providing the least amount of care and intervention.' That's exactly the target goal 1.5ºC primarily due to political will based on public support. It's from the support my government has historically supplied. And for that, I apologize to the world.

The UN Climate Action Summit 2019 theme referring to the climate emergency, was: 'A Race We Can Win. A Race We Must Win.' We should seek much lower than 1.5ºC should we want to secure an environment that fairly provides economic justice to all life on Earth. We didn't save the condors, bald eagles, Asian elephants, black-footed ferrets, kakapos, manatees, orangutans, the spotted owls, giant pandas, tigers, the leatherback sea turtles, the great blue whales, the humpback whales, and the redwoods, thousands square meters of rain forests, only to be lost again in another 60-100 years. We didn't decide we wanted to have Sustainable Development Goals only for the G7. A world on the brink of peril, say one created from vast amounts of CO₂; about 360 gigatonnes of Carbon (and 1.3 trillion tonnes of CO₂) similar to 2010 or that of the mid-2020s, isn't one social-ecological and economic justice.

And why? Because we're too lazy to change an existing infrastructure that delivers fossil fuels that creates wealth, and renewables are too expensive today? Those reasons aren't good enough to risk Earth for centuries to come.

Open Questions

What's the total amount of cumulative CO₂ since 1750 that equates to 450 ppm, and other tipping points? What scenarios get us away from these tipping points the fastest? What temperature relative to 1850, is safe and acceptable warming, that provides environmental justice for all plant, animal life on Earth? Note this allowable warming is relative to a point in time that was changed by human emissions, therefore this number could be negative. What's the fastest, safest rate we can remove Carbon from the atmosphere to restore the climate the fastest?